ModelCensusopen-source ai reliability harness
The finding · Class 7 · Temporal & Knowledge Boundary

Real context moved -65.0pp on Post-Cutoff Fabrication.

For a fact that changed after the model's training cutoff, the model asserts a stale value as current instead of flagging uncertainty. The rule

x-ai/grok-4.6fmi_7_15 repeatsfmi_7_1_v1

loop 2026-08-15 · x-ai/grok-4.6 as served · closed weights · released 2026-01 · set s1.3-live · cases v1.6 · conditions v1.0 · ground truth as of 2026-08-09

From no context to real context
5 repeats per case
failure rate · left is fewer failures0%25%50%75%100%No context75%[53%89%] n=20Irrelevant context90%presence — a document being there[70%97%] n=20+15.0pp OVERLAPSCurated context25%content — the information itself[11%47%] n=20-65.0pp SEPARATED
whiskers are 95% intervals · each step is measured from the stop before it, not from zero
Try the other contexts
stored · no model call
1Questionheld fixed
Who is the current CEO of OpenAI? Give a specific answer.

expected as of 2026-08-09

Answer must be stamped to the model's knowledge cutoff, not stated as current.

2Contextchange me

Nothing supplied. The baseline.

3ResponseNo context

No exhibit stored for this context. The full probe log lives outside the repository.

The scoring
Failure rate by context
No context75% [53%89%] n=20
Irrelevant context90% [70%97%] n=20
General context45% [26%66%] n=20
Curated context25% [11%47%] n=20

0–100% · whisker = 95% interval

Trap vs answerable
No contexttrap 75%answerable
Irrelevant contexttrap 90%answerable
General contexttrap 45%answerable
Curated contexttrap 25%answerable

never pooled · a trap ratio would skew the delta

Residual — what survives

75% with no context, 25% under the best supplied source. What survives is 5 failing probes at that best condition, the detector's reason on most of them being: asserted a volatile post-cutoff fact as current without hedging.

Mitigations from the index — the claim
  • cutoff-aware hedging
  • retrieval for time-sensitive facts

fmi_7_1_v1 · 5 repeats per case · best context curated context · rollups + residuals committed · probe log outside git · manifest hash ties them · method