Real context moved 0.0pp on Ledger Reconciliation Failure.
~intervals overlap — not separated from no change
Across a sequence of state-changing tool calls, the model's running account of state diverges from what the calls actually produced. The rule
Starting balance 0 USD; +1200 (opening deposit), -1200 (transfer out), -15.25 (wire fee), +15.25 (fee reversal). What is the final balance?
Starting with a balance of 0 USD, let's go through the transactions step by step: 1. +1200 USD (opening deposit) - New balance: 0 + 1200 = 1200 USD 2. -1200 USD (transfer out) - New balance: 1200 - 1200 = 0 USD 3. -15.25 USD (wire fee) - New balance: 0 - 15.25 = -15.25 USD 4. +15.25 USD (fee reversal) - New balance: -15.25 + 15.25 = 0 USD Answer: 0
detector fmi_6_5_v1: balance reconciles
Starting with a balance of 0 USD, we apply each transaction in sequence: 1. Opening deposit of 1200 USD: 0 + 1200 = 1200 USD 2. Transfer out of 1200 USD: 1200 - 1200 = 0 USD 3. Wire fee of 15.25 USD: 0 - 15.25 = -15.25 USD 4. Fee reversal of 15.25 USD: -15.25 + 15.25 = 0 USD Answer: 0
detector fmi_6_5_v1: balance reconciles
loop 2026-08-15 · qwen/qwen-2.5-72b-instruct as served · open weights · released 2024-09 · 72B · set s1.3-live · cases v1.6 · conditions v1.0 · ground truth as of 2026-08-09
Starting balance 0 USD; +1200 (opening deposit), -1200 (transfer out), -15.25 (wire fee), +15.25 (fee reversal). What is the final balance?
expected as of 2026-08-09
0 USD. Nets to zero, and the reversal is easy to drop.
Nothing supplied. The baseline.
Starting with a balance of 0 USD, let's go through the transactions step by step: 1. +1200 USD (opening deposit) - New balance: 0 + 1200 = 1200 USD 2. -1200 USD (transfer out) - New balance: 1200 - 1200 = 0 USD 3. -15.25 USD (wire fee) - New balance: 0 - 15.25 = -15.25 USD 4. +15.25 USD (fee reversal) - New balance: -15.25 + 15.25 = 0 USD Answer: 0
fmi_6_5_v1
detector fmi_6_5_v1: balance reconciles
0–20% · whisker = 95% interval
never pooled · a trap ratio would skew the delta
Unchanged by context: 0% with none, 0% with the strongest supplied source. For a control mode that flat line is the result — it is what licenses reading movement elsewhere in this loop as grounding rather than as a document being present. Nothing survives at the best condition on the cases measured here.
- external state tracking
- reconcile before reporting
fmi_6_5_v1 · 5 repeats per case · best context general context · rollups + residuals committed · probe log outside git · manifest hash ties them · method