loop 2026-08-15 · google/gemini-2.5-flash as served · closed weights · released 2025-06 · set s1.3-live · cases v1.6 · conditions v1.0 · ground truth as of 2026-08-09
From no context to real context
5 repeats per case
whiskers are 95% intervals · each step is measured from the stop before it, not from zero
Try the other contexts
stored · no model call
No exhibits stored for this card.
The scoring
Failure rate by context
No context100%[58%–100%] n=20 · eff 5
Irrelevant context60%[24%–88%] n=20 · eff 5
General context45%[15%–79%] n=20 · eff 5
Curated context35%[10%–73%] n=20 · eff 5
0–100% · whisker = 95% interval
Trap vs answerable
No contexttrap 100%answerable —
Irrelevant contexttrap 60%answerable —
General contexttrap 45%answerable —
Curated contexttrap 35%answerable —
never pooled · a trap ratio would skew the delta
Residual — what survives
100% with no context, 35% under the best supplied source. What survives is 7 failing probes at that best condition, the detector's reason on most of them being: asserted a volatile post-cutoff fact as current without hedging.
Mitigations from the index — the claim
—cutoff-aware hedging
—retrieval for time-sensitive facts
fmi_7_1_v1 · 5 repeats per case · best context curated context · rollups + residuals committed · probe log outside git · manifest hash ties them · method