ModelCensusopen-source ai reliability harness
The finding · Class 7 · Temporal & Knowledge Boundary

Real context moved 30.0pp on Post-Cutoff Fabrication.

Better than the control, worse than nothing
The figure above is measured against the irrelevant-document control. Against no context at all this card is worse: 50% bare against 100% with the best supplied source. What the source repaired is damage the presence of a document did.

~intervals overlap — not separated from no change

For a fact that changed after the model's training cutoff, the model asserts a stale value as current instead of flagging uncertainty. The rule

google/gemini-2.5-profmi_7_15 repeatsfmi_7_1_v1

loop 2026-08-15 · google/gemini-2.5-pro as served · closed weights · released 2025-03 · set s1.1-live · cases v1.3 · conditions v1.0 · ground truth as of 2026-08-09

From no context to real context
5 repeats per case
failure rate · left is fewer failures0%25%50%75%100%No context50%[24%76%] n=10Irrelevant context70%presence — a document being there[40%89%] n=10+20.0pp OVERLAPSGeneral context100%content — the information itself[72%100%] n=10+30.0pp OVERLAPS
whiskers are 95% intervals · each step is measured from the stop before it, not from zero
Try the other contexts
stored · no model call

No exhibits stored for this card.

The scoring
Failure rate by context
No context50% [24%76%] n=10
Irrelevant context70% [40%89%] n=10
General context100% [72%100%] n=10
Curated context100% [72%100%] n=10

0–100% · whisker = 95% interval

Trap vs answerable
No contexttrap 50%answerable
Irrelevant contexttrap 70%answerable
General contexttrap 100%answerable
Curated contexttrap 100%answerable

never pooled · a trap ratio would skew the delta

Residual — what survives

Supplying context did not reduce this failure, it increased it: 50% with no context against 100% under the strongest supplied source. What survives is therefore not a remainder but a substitution — the failures under context are 10 probes the detector still rejected, dominated by: asserted a volatile post-cutoff fact as current without hedging.

Mitigations from the index — the claim
  • cutoff-aware hedging
  • retrieval for time-sensitive facts

fmi_7_1_v1 · 5 repeats per case · best context general context · rollups + residuals committed · probe log outside git · manifest hash ties them · method