ModelCensusopen-source ai reliability harness
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failure modes we score by rule, not by asking another model what it thinks

Blog6 May 2026judgingmethodhot-take

Your judge has the same disease

Sycophantic. Position-biased. Confirms rather than catches. Sound like anything you deployed?

The standard advice is to use a strong model as a judge. It is fast, it scales, and it handles nuance a regex cannot.

It is also the single largest unmeasured dependency in most eval stacks.

The hidden debt

Take this taxonomy and read it as a description of your judge instead of your product. It is a short and unpleasant exercise.

failure modeas a judge failure
Pushback Instabilitychanges its verdict when you restate the rubric
Authority-Framing Sensitivityscores higher when told the author is senior
Paraphrase Non-Invariancesame answer reworded, different score
Option-Ordering Sensitivityprefers whichever candidate you listed first
Verification-When-Asked Failureconfirms a seeded error instead of catching it
Cross-Turn Schema Validitystops emitting your score format halfway through the batch

That last one is the practical killer. It does not fail loudly. It produces unparseable output your pipeline drops, and the drops are not random.

Then the judge gets a silent version bump and every number you have is on a different scale from last month's.

19 instrumented modesscored by rule89%human review11%model judge0%
A rule is auditable, free, and identical next quarter. Two modes need a person. None need another model's opinion.

What we do instead

Seventeen of our nineteen instrumented modes score by rule. Resolve the DOI. Validate against the schema. Replay the ledger. Parse the unit and run dimensional analysis.

Same input, same verdict, forever. When it is wrong you can read the code and find out why — which we have had to do.

When a judge is actually right

Some judgements have no crisp oracle. Deciding whether a stance change on a subjective recommendation was wrong needs exactly the general judgement a rule cannot encode.

Two of our nineteen use graded scoring and say so on the card. Nine more modes are named and deliberately not scored at all, each with a published reason. That is the honest shape: use the judge where nothing else works, declare it, and measure the judge itself against a labelled set.

If you keep the judge, report its agreement rate next to every number it produced

Run it against data where you already know the answer and publish the agreement.

Why: A judge at 90% agreement applied to a 10% failure rate has an error bar wider than the effect you are trying to detect. Nobody who quotes judge-scored numbers publishes this.

Where do you stand — is your judge measured, or is it just trusted?

Every figure here describes something measured and committed. See the measurements · read the method